The Warriors Improbable Comeback

YEARTEAMOPPONENTROUNDGAMEQTRODDS Win probability calculated at the end of each quarter or overtime, based on FiveThirtyEight’s Elo ratingsSource: basketball-reference.com 41994RocketsSuns2312.4 32000LakersTrail Blazers3732.0 51995RocketsSuns2513.5 As the Oklahoma City Thunder learned Monday night, it’s really tough to eliminate a defending NBA champion. After opening up a 3-1 series lead in the Western Conference finals, the Thunder were poised to knock the Golden State Warriors out for good — they led for almost the entirety of Game 6 before collapsing down the stretch, and they took a 6-point lead into the second half of Game 7. None of that mattered; the finishing blow was always just outside of OKC’s reach.But, man, did the Thunder come close. In fact, according to our quarter-by-quarter analysis of seven-game playoff series since 1984,1The year the NBA playoffs expanded to 16 teams. the Thunder — with a peak win probability of 95.8 percent going into the fourth quarter of Game 6 — came the seventh-closest to a series victory of any modern team that went on to lose. And in the conference finals, only the Portland Trail Blazers’ infamous collapse against the Los Angeles Lakers in 2000 was more unlikely.(The least likely comeback overall? Last year’s Houston Rockets, who went down three games to one against the Clippers before storming back to win three straight games — just like this year’s Warriors team.) 82001BucksHornets2624.7 LOWEST WIN PROBABILITY MOMENT But the Dubs pulled out a dramatic win in Game 6. Their reward: a Game 7 at home that had them as 66 percent favorites to win the series.2It’s worth noting that the betting markets (as measured by Inpredictable’s in-game odds) were never quite as bullish on OKC’s upset chances as the statistical models were. Perhaps the markets were factoring in the invisible aura of Golden State’s championship experience?The rest is history. The defending champions are returning to the Finals, in a rematch against LeBron and the Cavs.Check out our NBA Finals predictions. 102005MavericksRockets1337.5 Greatest best-of-seven NBA playoff series comebacks 91997HeatKnicks2616.6 12015RocketsClippers2630.3% 72016WarriorsThunder3634.2 Here’s how we crunched those numbers: First, we gathered quarter-by-quarter line score data for every NBA playoff game since ’84 and used Wayne Winston’s method of converting point margins to win probabilities to generate a win expectancy number for each team after every quarter. (Given the data we were working with, we couldn’t go deeper to, say, the play-by-play level to find the most dire circumstances within a quarter.) We then plugged those game-level probabilities into the formulae for winning a series, which allowed us to incorporate both the results of games already played and the expected outcomes of future games based on Elo.In terms of series win probability, the Warriors rode a wild roller coaster against the Thunder. At the start, our Elo-based projections gave them a 70 percent chance to win the series. However, by the end of Game 4, that had dropped to just 17.5 percent. A solid Game 5 win helped their odds, but by Game 6 the Thunder had them on the ropes. Entering the fourth quarter of that game, the Warriors stood only a 4.3 percent chance of winning the series. 22000KnicksHeat2621.8 62013HeatSpurs4634.2 read more

Rakitic feels Barca deserved a win against Valencia

first_imgBarcelona midfielder Ivan Rakitic feels his side played well enough to secure a win against Valencia at the Camp Nou, despite the game ending in a stalemate.The 2-2 draw against Marcelino’s men ended the club’s eight-game winning streak in the League and could only stretch their lead to six points above Atletico Madrid.Two goals for Lionel Messi helped Barcelona to fight back, after falling 2-0 behind after 35 minutes, but the Croatian international believes they had the chances to collect all three points.⌛️FULL-TIME: There’s the whistle! Leo Messi scores twice as Barça battle back from 2-0, first-half deficit to earn a tie!FT: Barça 2 – 2 Valencia⚽️ #Messi 39′ (p.), 64′ / Gameiro 24′ , Parejo 32′ (p.)🔵🔴 #BarçaValencia pic.twitter.com/GyuzSYUOmC— FC Barcelona (@FCBarcelona) February 2, 2019“We surely deserved to win. We played a much better game than Valencia. He revealed in a quote cited on Football Espana.Sergio Ramos, Real MadridZidane reveals Sergio Ramos injury concern for Real Madrid Andrew Smyth – September 14, 2019 Zinedine Zidane has put Sergio Ramos’ availability for Real Madrid’s trip to Sevilla next weekend in doubt after withdrawing him against Levante.“Maybe in the first half we did not play that well, but in the second half we dominated, and at times we were almost playing handball around their area.“But in the end, we came up short, and it is not easy to play against a counter-attacking team like Valencia, particularly after a hard game in midweek as we had against Sevilla.”Atletico Madrid will be hoping to reduce the gap to three points when they face Real Betis on Sunday.Real Madrid could also be in the mix for the title if they maintain a winning form for the rest of the campaign.Barcelona host Real Madrid in the Copa del Rey semi-final on Wednesday night, and Messi and defender Gerard Pique are doubtful after picking up injuries in the Valencia tie.🗣 @ivanrakitic 🗣 Ernesto Valverde⚽️ #BarçaValencia pic.twitter.com/CGE4z49wqy— FC Barcelona (@FCBarcelona) February 2, 2019last_img read more

Supervisors say farewell to outgoing board members Horn Roberts

first_img KUSI Newsroom, KUSI Newsroom Posted: December 12, 2018 Supervisors say farewell to outgoing board members Horn, Roberts December 12, 2018 SAN DIEGO (KUSI) – Members of the San Diego County Board of Supervisors Wednesday saluted two termed-out colleagues, Bill Horn and Ron Roberts, for their decades of leadership in local government.Horn and Roberts offered brief reflections on their public service and received a standing ovation from their colleagues during a meeting of the board at the County Administration Center.A former Marine and business owner who served on the Escondido Union High School District board in the early 1990s, Horn was first elected as a county supervisor in 1994 for District 5, an area that spans roughly 1,800 square miles from the Pacific Ocean to Imperial County.Roberts, an architect and former San Diego councilman, was elected to the board in 1994 to represent District 4, which encompasses dozens of neighborhoods, mostly within that city’s boundaries.Former San Marcos Mayor Jim Desmond won Horn’s seat last month, while former state Assemblyman Nathan Fletcher was elected to replace Roberts.During his time on the board, Horn told his colleagues that he “tried to be a champion for North County,” adding that he hoped “the voters look at it that way.”Horn said the county is in good financial shape because board members had managed to agree on major issues and served their constituents well.When he and Roberts joined the legislative body, Horn recalled, they were told the county needed to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. Instead, its leaders froze budgets, paid down bonds and sold off trash service.Along with his staff and other county departments, Horn thanked first responders for their efforts, especially during major wildfires.Roberts, for his part, said he would not trade his 31 years in government for anything. He credited numerous staff members for putting the county on a stable course.“I thank all of you collectively for your friendship, support and camaraderie,” Roberts said.He also praised citizens and community groups for their efforts on numerous projects, asserting that “they’re why we do this work.”Roberts cited Veterans’ Village on Pacific Highway, the county operations center in Kearny Mesa, several sporting facilities, and Waterfront Park on Harbor Drive as major achievements in which he took part. He called the latter civic amenity “a landmark in San Diego — you can travel all over and won’t find anything like it.”Board Chairwoman Kristin Gaspar described the two termed-out politicos’ final remarks as “a long goodbye.”Supervisor Greg Cox called the departure of Horn and Roberts the end of an era. He credited Roberts for being a fierce advocate of foster children who “never stopped thinking about ways to make San Diego a better place to live.”“Without Ron, there would have been no Waterfront Park,” Cox said. “Ron (also) was the driving force behind the county operations center.”As for Horn, whose tenure at times could be controversial, Cox said the ex-Marine deserves credit for strong support of veterans and, outside the county purview, humanitarian work in Uganda.“There’s a side of Bill that most people aren’t aware of,” Cox said. “His gruff exterior hides the fact that he cares about people.”Supervisor Dianne Jacob opined that Horn and Roberts would leave lasting legacies.“There are times we have fought in public, but in the end, we’re like family,” she said.Jacob lauded the two men’s efforts to improve public safety and secure better pay for law enforcement personnel. She added that they were instrumental in transformed the county from near-insolvency in the 1990s to a regional government that boasts a “triple A” credit rating.County Chief Administrative Officer Helen Robbins-Meyer said Horn and Roberts “always treated staff as if it’s one team working together.” As a parting gift, she presented them with a book documenting their successes on county programs and projects. Categories: Local San Diego News, Politics FacebookTwitterlast_img read more

Taste of Home Ramps Up Advertorials

first_imgThe space in the magazine that’s devoted to these special advertorial sections are “new” pages as advertising will be sold against them—no previous editorial space will be taken over by the advertorials, Gier said. Gier declined to say exactly how much ad revenue the magazine pulls in from these promotions, but said the packages span print, online, digital and events. “The conversations we have are very strategic versus just discussing just demographics and rates,” she said. “We are winning exclusive business through these partnerships.”Managed under RDA’s Food & Entertaining Affinity, Taste of Home publishes bimonthly and carries a 3.2 million rate base. After publishing for roughly 15 years, Taste of Home only began accepting advertising in late 2007. One way Taste of Home is convincing marketers to spend more money with the brand is by producing custom editorial columns in the magazine that it says are more “synergistic” with advertisers’ promotional goals. The Reader’s Digest Association magazine is ramping up those efforts over the coming months, it says.”We realize that clients are looking for new and meaningful ways to connect with consumers,” Lora Gier, vice president and publisher of RDA’s Taste of Home and Home & Garden Media Group, told FOLIO:. “Because of the user-generated nature of Taste of Home, we know how our readers use our magazine and what appeals to them. We are sharing this information with clients and are creating advertising opportunities to connect what readers love about Taste of Home with their brands.”For example, Taste of Home created custom in-book sections that feature branded recipe cards for client Jimmy Dean that run next to the magazine’s own recipe cards section. Gier said these sections are clearly marked as advertising and in no way represent a violation of the ad/edit line. “This is a win-win for the advertiser and our readers,” she said. last_img read more

An elegant new tower speaker for upscale audiophiles

first_img Comment Meet the Spendor A7 speakers Spendor American and British speaker design ethoses have always been very different. American brands such as Klipsch, Tekton, Vandersteen and Zu all share a common proclivity for dynamics and colorful sound. Brit brands such as Harbeth, KEF and Spendor are more reserved. Their Britishness always shines through as they seduce the ear. Take this new speaker from Spendor, the A7. It looks the part; nothing flashy going on here, just an elegant design that should stand the test of time. The sound, however, is something new.The British-made A7 is 37 inches (nearly 1 meter) high, the front baffle is fitted with a 1 inch (22mm) polyamide tweeter and a 7 inch (178mm) polymer woofer. At first I thought the A7 was a sealed (acoustic suspension) design, but a closer look revealed a rectangular bass port just below the speaker cable connectors. The A7’s internal cables are silver plated copper, the crossover features high linearity capacitors, and the speaker’s impedance is rated at 8 ohms. The handsome black ash, dark walnut, or natural oak real wood finishes are commensurate with the A7’s price: $4,995 in the US, £3,200 in the UK, and AU$5,999 in Australia (per pair).I partnered the A7s with a Bryston B135.3 integrated amp and Bryston BCD-3 CD player, and played LPs on a Dr. Feickert Volare turntable for all of my listening tests at the Sound by Singer store in NYC. Straight away the music was unerringly precise and clear; there’s no blurring or muddiness going on here! It’s very British, but with stepped-up clarity.img-0608The A7 (left), Harbeth M 30.2 (right) Steve Guttenberg/CNET No baby boomer audiophile would mistake the A7 for the polite British sound of years past, the A7s immediacy came to the fore with Paul Simon’s recent In The Blue Light album, There’s an unforced purity to the sound that puts the music first on these old Simon tunes, spiffed up with wonderful new arrangements. Simon’s vocals are upfront and very present, though a little thin, but this recording sounds like that. The A7 tells it like it is.On jazz guitarist Bill Frisell and bassist Thomas Morgan’s Small Town duets album, the sound balance warmed up nicely, especially on Morgan’s dexterous bass fingerings. There’s nice weight down there, and Frisell’s airy, almost ambient guitar floated free of the speakers. I really felt the connection between the two improvising players. For comparison listening tests I used a pair of Harbeth M 30.2 stand mount speakers ($6,995/£3,895/AU$6,950 per pair), and the sound took a sharp turn to fuller and richer than the A7’s. The contrast was bigger than I expected; the A7 is leaner, and its cooler tonal balance sounded faster and more dynamically alive. The M 30.2’s softer presentation was no less musically engaging, but it’s less vivid overall. The Doors’ Waiting for the Sun album rocked with gusto on both speakers, but there was something about the way Jim Morrison’s vocal swagger really cut through over the A7s. In comparison the M 30.2s’ sound had more flesh-and-blood soul to it. Both speakers are strong performers, but they will appeal to different tastes. The Harbeth M 30.2 is more old-school British, the Spendor A7 is more 2019 transparent and dynamic. If you want to hear every last detail, a pair of Spendor A7s deserve your consideration. Tags 1 Share your voice The Audiophiliac Speakers Home Entertainmentlast_img read more

Overwatch Lego gets new Junkrat Roadhog and Wrecking Ball sets

first_img See it There is also a previous set that includes D.Va and Reinhardt, as well as a Watchpoint: Gibraltar set with Mercy, Reaper, Winston and Pharah.These two new Overwatch Lego sets will be on display at the Blizzard booth at this year’s San Diego Comic-Con International, which runs from July 18 to 21. Here are Overwatch characters Junkrat and Roadhog in the new Lego set. Lego Blizzard’s hit game Overwatch is full of crazy characters like Junkrat, Roadhog and Hammond the hamster. Now you can build Lego versions of them with their vehicles with two new Lego sets.The new sets include Wrecking Ball, the spherical robot piloted by Hammond the hamster, and a Junkrat and Roadhog set that includes their bike with a sidecar, and a Junkertown sign.overwatchlego-wreckingballBehold the Overwatch Lego of Wrecking Ball complete with Hammond the hamster. Lego The sets will be available to purchase in October for $20 (roughly £16, AU$29) for the Wrecking Ball set and $50 (roughly £39, AU$71) for the Junkrat and Roadhog set. The Overwatch sets were announced last year.Previous Overwatch Lego sets have included tiny Lego figures of Tracer and Widowmaker, Hanzo and Genji, and Soldier: 76, Reaper and McCree. Awesome Overwatch cosplay from around the world Tags 74 Photos Toys and Tabletop Games Gaming $34 0 CNET may get a commission from retail offers. Overwatch Origins Edition Preview • Blizzard’s Overwatch: Everything you need to know Post a comment Share your voice More Overwatch Lego Mentioned Above Overwatch Origins Edition (PC) News • Overwatch might be coming to the Nintendo Switch Lego Overwatch sets officially debut at BlizzCon Overwatch Lego sets will let you build your favorite heroes Giant Lego Overwatch statue for BlizzCon has 145,000 pieces Legolast_img read more

BSE closes points 22351 down on November 12

first_imgNew Delhi, Nov 12 (ANI): Trading at the Bombay Stock Exchange today closed 223.51 points down to stand at 20267.45. At the National Stock Exchange the Nifty closed 66.35 points down to stand at 6,012.45. Torrent Power and Bata India were among the top gainers of Group A with an increase of 5.60% and 4.31% along with National Aluminium Company Ltd. and Divis Lab with an increase of 4.08% and 3.74% respectively, while the top losers of Group A include MCX and Corporation Bank with a decrease of 10.03% and 8.88% along with Financial Technologies and Reliance Communications Ltd. with a decrease of 6.23% and 5.80% at the close of the markets. The Auto sector is down 168.62 points at 11,705.74, while the banking sector is down 224.91 points at 12,056.51 and the realty sector is down 15.62 points at 1,290.24. The Indian currency is down 0.85% at Rs 63.78 per dollar.last_img read more

43 Afghan soldiers killed in military base suicide attack

first_imgMap of Afghanistan locating a deadly suicide attack on military base in Kandahar Thursday. AFPAt least 43 Afghan soldiers were killed in a Taliban-claimed suicide attack on a military base in southern Afghanistan on Thursday, officials said, the third assault on a security installation this week.Just two soldiers are known to have survived unscathed after the attack on the base in the Chashmo area of Maiwand district in Kandahar province, the defence ministry said in a statement, adding that nine soldiers were wounded and six unaccounted for.Defence ministry spokesman Dawlat Waziri told AFP the attackers detonated at least one explosive-packed Humvee vehicle and razed the compound in the early morning assault.“We think the militants used an explosive-packed Humvee vehicle to detonate the gate of the base and we are looking to see if there was more than one,” Waziri said.“Unfortunately there is nothing left inside the camp. They have burned down everything they found inside.”The Taliban claimed the ambush in a message to journalists which said all 60 security personnel on the base were killed.Ten insurgents died, the ministry said.“We have sent a delegation to assess the situation. The base is under ANA (Afghan National Army) control,” Waziri added.It was the third suicide and gun attack on a security installation this week and takes the total death toll to more than 120, including soldiers, police and civilians.In each assault the Taliban used a Humvee vehicle as a bomb to blast their way into their targets.On Tuesday two attacks in southeast Afghanistan killed 80 people and wounded nearly 300 in the bloodiest day in the war-torn country in almost five months.The deadliest of Tuesday’s assaults was on a police compound in the city of Gardez in Paktia province where Taliban militants disguised as police detonated three explosive-packed vehicles—including a truck and a Humvee—that cleared the way for 11 gunmen to enter.At least 60 people, including Paktia police chief Toryalai Abdyani and civilians waiting to collect documents, were killed in the blasts and ensuing battle that lasted around five hours, health officials said, with more than 230 wounded.In the second attack in the neighbouring province of Ghazni, some 100 kilometres west of Gardez, 20 people, including 15 members of the security forces and five civilians died and 46 were wounded, officials said.last_img read more

US judge halts Trumps asylum ban

first_imgMembers of a migrant caravan from Central America and their supporters sit on the top of the US-Mexico border wall at Border Field State Park before making an asylum request, in San Diego, California, US on 29 April 2018. Photo: ReutersA US judge on Monday temporarily blocked an order by President Donald Trump that barred asylum for immigrants who enter the country illegally from Mexico, the latest courtroom defeat for Trump on immigration policy.US District Judge Jon Tigar in San Francisco issued a temporary restraining order against the asylum rules. Tigar’s order takes effect immediately, applies nationwide, and lasts until at least Dec. 19 when the judge scheduled a hearing to consider a more long-lasting injunction.Representatives for the US Department of Justice could not immediately be reached for comment.Trump cited an overwhelmed immigration system for his recent proclamation that officials will only process asylum claims for migrants who present themselves at an official entry point. Civil rights groups sued, arguing that Trump’s 9 November order violated administrative and immigration law.In his ruling, Tigar said Congress clearly mandated that immigrants can apply for asylum regardless of how they entered the country. The judge called the latest rules an “extreme departure” from prior practice.“Whatever the scope of the president’s authority, he may not rewrite the immigration laws to impose a condition that Congress has expressly forbidden,” Tigar wrote.Tigar was nominated to the court by the former US president Barack Obama.Previous Trump immigration policies, including measures targeting sanctuary cities, have also been blocked by the courts.The asylum ruling came as thousands of Central Americans, including a large number of children, are traveling in caravans toward the US border to escape violence and poverty at home. Some have already arrived at Tijuana, a Mexican city on the border with California.“It is too much”Rights groups have said immigrants are being forced to wait days or weeks at the border before they can present themselves for asylum, and the administration has been sued for deliberately slowing processing times at official ports.At a hearing earlier on Monday, American Civil Liberties Union attorney Lee Gelernt said the order clearly conflicted with the Immigration and Nationality Act, which allows any person present in the United States to seek asylum, regardless of how they entered the country.Gelernt said the ACLU had recently learned Mexican authorities have begun barring unaccompanied minors from applying at US ports of entry.Mexico’s migration institute said in a statement to Reuters that there was “no basis” for the ACLU’s claims, noting that there had been no such reports from the United Nations or human rights groups that are monitoring the situation at the border.Uriel Gonzalez, the head of a YMCA shelter for young migrants in Tijuana, said he had not heard of any new measures directed at unaccompanied minors. He noted there were already long lines to get a turn with US authorities.“This can take a while because the number of migrants has overwhelmed capacity. It is too much,” he said.The judge on Monday wrote that Trump’s refugee rule would force people with legitimate asylum claims “to choose between violence at the border, violence at home, or giving up a pathway to refugee status.”Caravan participants began to arrive last week in Tijuana on the Mexican side of the US border, which has put a strain on shelters where many will wait to seek asylum. Their presence has also strained Tijuana’s reputation as a welcoming city, with some residents screaming at the migrants, “Get out!”Trump sent more than 5,000 soldiers to the 2,000-mile (3,100 km) frontier with Mexico to harden the border, although critics dismissed the move as a political stunt ahead of congressional elections on 6 November.last_img read more