The Warriors Improbable Comeback

YEARTEAMOPPONENTROUNDGAMEQTRODDS Win probability calculated at the end of each quarter or overtime, based on FiveThirtyEight’s Elo ratingsSource: basketball-reference.com 41994RocketsSuns2312.4 32000LakersTrail Blazers3732.0 51995RocketsSuns2513.5 As the Oklahoma City Thunder learned Monday night, it’s really tough to eliminate a defending NBA champion. After opening up a 3-1 series lead in the Western Conference finals, the Thunder were poised to knock the Golden State Warriors out for good — they led for almost the entirety of Game 6 before collapsing down the stretch, and they took a 6-point lead into the second half of Game 7. None of that mattered; the finishing blow was always just outside of OKC’s reach.But, man, did the Thunder come close. In fact, according to our quarter-by-quarter analysis of seven-game playoff series since 1984,1The year the NBA playoffs expanded to 16 teams. the Thunder — with a peak win probability of 95.8 percent going into the fourth quarter of Game 6 — came the seventh-closest to a series victory of any modern team that went on to lose. And in the conference finals, only the Portland Trail Blazers’ infamous collapse against the Los Angeles Lakers in 2000 was more unlikely.(The least likely comeback overall? Last year’s Houston Rockets, who went down three games to one against the Clippers before storming back to win three straight games — just like this year’s Warriors team.) 82001BucksHornets2624.7 LOWEST WIN PROBABILITY MOMENT But the Dubs pulled out a dramatic win in Game 6. Their reward: a Game 7 at home that had them as 66 percent favorites to win the series.2It’s worth noting that the betting markets (as measured by Inpredictable’s in-game odds) were never quite as bullish on OKC’s upset chances as the statistical models were. Perhaps the markets were factoring in the invisible aura of Golden State’s championship experience?The rest is history. The defending champions are returning to the Finals, in a rematch against LeBron and the Cavs.Check out our NBA Finals predictions. 102005MavericksRockets1337.5 Greatest best-of-seven NBA playoff series comebacks 91997HeatKnicks2616.6 12015RocketsClippers2630.3% 72016WarriorsThunder3634.2 Here’s how we crunched those numbers: First, we gathered quarter-by-quarter line score data for every NBA playoff game since ’84 and used Wayne Winston’s method of converting point margins to win probabilities to generate a win expectancy number for each team after every quarter. (Given the data we were working with, we couldn’t go deeper to, say, the play-by-play level to find the most dire circumstances within a quarter.) We then plugged those game-level probabilities into the formulae for winning a series, which allowed us to incorporate both the results of games already played and the expected outcomes of future games based on Elo.In terms of series win probability, the Warriors rode a wild roller coaster against the Thunder. At the start, our Elo-based projections gave them a 70 percent chance to win the series. However, by the end of Game 4, that had dropped to just 17.5 percent. A solid Game 5 win helped their odds, but by Game 6 the Thunder had them on the ropes. Entering the fourth quarter of that game, the Warriors stood only a 4.3 percent chance of winning the series. 22000KnicksHeat2621.8 62013HeatSpurs4634.2 read more

New Hospitals Contract Team will cost country near 400000

first_imgFacebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp Recommended for you Premier attends town hall meetings TCI Premier blasts Opposition side for “slop” information, sets it straight in HOA Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppProvidenciales, 23 Mar 2015 – During the Budget Communication this morning in the House of Assembly, Finance Minister Washington Misick said government will spend $382 Thousand for what is being called a Hospital Contract Management Unit to oversee the current Hospitals Contract. Minister Misick said: “This will ensure that we extract maximum value for money from our expensive contract with Interhealth Canada.” Already there is some criticism coming from the Opposition Leader, Sharlene Robinson who during her contribution following the Budget Speech said the government is years delayed in establishing this Committee, pointing to the PNP Administration’s lack of seriousness in firming up a better arrangement for the People of the Turks and Caicos Islands with Interhealth Canada long ago. The hospitals get 28% of the country’s national budget. The Minister said there is a budgetary limit being set for the hospitals this fiscal year. Related Items:hospital contract team, sharlene cartwright-robinson, washington misick Attorney calls on UWI to honor TCI leaderslast_img read more

Unqualified Applicants 75 cannot vote in TCI Use file photo of the

first_img Hundreds try to beat November 30 deadline Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppProvidenciales, 21Dec 2015 – Nearly 75% of the people who registered to vote up to November 30 were not eligible says the Elections Supervisor, Dudley Lewis. A whopping 1,376 men and women who cannot vote in the next General Election turned in documents in the hopes of being able to do so. The Elections Supervisor in an update said there was a drastic increase in number of applications and for this he was glad, but the disappointment came when Lewis realized that, and I quote, “…the number of persons who applied to be added to the register and were not eligible because they were not in possession of a Turks and Caicos Islander or Belonger Status…” was high. Not only are these 743 men and 633 women ineligible, they have not even so much as applied to become Turks and Caicos citizens according to Mr. Lewis.This underscores the confusion Magnetic Media reported upon during the independent voter registration drives; the one launched lastly drawing many apparent Haitians who told us that they thought they could register for the election and citizenship at the same time and be successful. Status cards free first time says Cabinet Recommended for you Related Items:2016 general elections, unqualified applicants, voters Former Premier says 2016 too important to miss; joined call for last minute registrants Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApplast_img read more

Khaleda to meet Sushma at Sonargaon hotel

first_imgKhaleda Zia, Sushma Swaraj.Former prime minister and opposition Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) chairperson Khaleda Zia is expected to meet India’s external affairs minister Sushma Swaraj.The Indian minister arrives in Dhaka at 1:55pm today, Sunday, on a two-day visit.Khaleda will meet Sushma Swaraj at Sonargaon hotel in the capital at 8:00 this evening, the BNP chairperson’s media wing member Shamsuddin Didar told Prothom Alo.During her two-day visit in Dhaka, Sushma will stay at Sonargaon hotel.Party insiders said BNP secretary general Mirza Fakhrul Islam Alamgir, standing committee members Abdul Moyeen Khan and Amir Khosru Mahmud Chowdhury, and the chairperson’s advisers Riaz Rahman and Sabihuddin Ahmed will accompany Khaleda during her courtesy call on the Indian leader.During her earlier visit in 2014, Khaleda met Sushma also at Sonargaon hotel.Bangladesh and India will hold the next Joint Consultative Commission (JCC) meeting this afternoon to review the entire bilateral relations and take forward the decisions taken so far.Foreign minister AH Mahmood Ali and his Indian counterpart Sushma Swaraj will lead their respective sides at the meeting which will begin at 4:30pm at state guesthouse Padma.The meeting will coordinate, oversee and follow-up implementation of initiatives as well as explore new avenues for cooperation.The Indian external affairs minister will also meet prime minister Sheikh Hasina at 6:00pm today.last_img read more